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2024-12-14 02:59:45

Citigroup: It is expected that the gold and silver markets will resume their gradual upward trend within 3-12 months, reaching $3,000/ounce and $36/ounce respectively. Under basic conditions, it is expected that the price of crude oil will gradually drop to 60 USD/barrel in the middle of 2025, and will remain near this level in the second half of 2025 and 2026.According to a survey conducted by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, economists raised Singapore's GDP growth forecast from 2.6% to 3.6% in 2024.Bank of Communications International: In November, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the mainland was 52.3%, and the performance in December was optimistic. Bank of Communications International published a research report to give the mainland auto industry a leading rating. According to the report, the retail sales of passenger cars increased by 16.5% year-on-year in November; The retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 52.3%, exceeding 50% for the fifth consecutive month, and the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 50.5% year-on-year. In November, the export growth slowed down, and the proportion of new energy vehicles fell to 20%. The bank pointed out that considering that the Spring Festival in 2025 is earlier than that in 2024, some car purchases before the Spring Festival will be completed by the end of 2024, and the subsidy policy for trade-in will enter the final stage in December, and some car companies are also sprinting sales through promotional activities. The bank expects the passenger car market in December. It is expected to maintain the potential of the current retail sales to continue to increase year by year. However, after the sales sprint in December, the auto market entered the off-season of consumption, so it is necessary to be cautious that the stock price performance of the auto sector may fluctuate.


The "moderately loose" monetary policy boosted the confidence of all parties. A50ETF Huabao (159596) attracted 17.02 million yuan of gold yesterday. On December 11, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated within a narrow range in the morning, and A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell slightly by 0.18% with a turnover of 84.21 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. On the upside, Midea Group led the gains, followed by Zijin Mining and Changjiang Power. On the downside, Hengrui Pharma led the decline. In terms of capital flow, A50ETF Huabao (159596) received a net inflow of 17.02 million yuan yesterday. China Post Securities said that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting continued to actively set the tone, and the policy turned loose, and expanding domestic demand in all directions became the current policy direction. This meeting made it clear that "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" and the fiscal policy adjustment was "more active", which basically met market expectations; The monetary policy is set to be "moderately loose", and the tone is adjusted again after 14 years. Next year, it is expected to be wide in currency and credit.Monetary authority of singapore survey shows that economists predict that Singapore's core inflation rate will be 1.8% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2024 (the previous value is 2.9%).The OPEC monthly report will be published at 20:45 Beijing time.


State Railway Administration: From January to November, the national railway passenger volume reached a record high, and the State Railway Administration announced that from January to November, the national railway passenger volume reached a record high. From January to November, the number of railway passengers sent nationwide reached 4.015 billion, up 12.6% year-on-year, and the annual number of passengers sent exceeded 4 billion for the first time, reaching a record high. Passenger turnover reached 1,484.061 billion person-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%. In the month of November, the number of railway passengers sent nationwide was 304 million, up 8.8% year-on-year; Passenger turnover reached 98.135 billion person-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%. The volume of freight delivery has increased steadily. From January to November, the national railway freight volume was 4.715 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%. In November, the national railway freight volume was 455 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%; The freight turnover was 324.521 billion tons kilometers, up 2.4% year-on-year.Yanshan Technology has set up a new subsidiary in Shanghai. According to the enterprise search APP, Shanghai Yunsong Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhang Weiming as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes technical services, technical development, technical consultation, technical exchange, technology transfer and technology promotion. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Yanshan Technology.Citigroup: It is expected that the gold and silver markets will resume their gradual upward trend within 3-12 months, reaching $3,000/ounce and $36/ounce respectively. Under basic conditions, it is expected that the price of crude oil will gradually drop to 60 USD/barrel in the middle of 2025, and will remain near this level in the second half of 2025 and 2026.

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